Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.216802 0.252365 0.293957 0.346713 0.412597 0.493177 0.600788
2025-02-16 0.164116 0.208412 0.266759 0.351433 0.475082 0.655831 0.954143
2025-02-23 0.133540 0.180303 0.247436 0.355417 0.534496 0.840489 1.459570
2025-03-02 0.113269 0.160129 0.231982 0.357454 0.589015 1.044064 2.168051
2025-03-09 0.098188 0.143862 0.217641 0.355431 0.634012 1.255198 3.123198
2025-03-16 0.085980 0.129566 0.202954 0.347768 0.664121 1.453836 4.329461
2025-03-23 0.079101 0.122646 0.199157 0.359134 0.739388 1.819908 6.827756
2025-03-30 0.071127 0.112556 0.187630 0.351482 0.766894 2.076779 9.594959
2025-04-06 0.066007 0.106712 0.182921 0.357126 0.831587 2.520495 15.304609
2025-04-13 0.060616 0.099638 0.174586 0.352349 0.865797 2.894389 22.956333
2025-04-20 0.057055 0.095501 0.171450 0.359192 0.939395 3.539619 40.742308
2025-04-27 0.054298 0.092538 0.170238 0.370584 1.035312 4.462203 84.493486
2025-05-04 0.051463 0.089166 0.167804 0.378788 1.128790 5.595974 202.046236
2025-05-11 0.049089 0.086461 0.166469 0.390004 1.244282 7.225626 695.803148
2025-05-18 0.046642 0.083329 0.163685 0.396424 1.346845 9.143394 3880.099917
2025-05-25 0.044240 0.080033 0.160031 0.399345 1.438250 11.400012 99090.843867
2025-06-01 0.041810 0.076432 0.155140 0.397178 1.505576 13.794231 NaN
2025-06-08 0.039289 0.072406 0.148685 0.388370 1.533802 15.887481 NaN
2025-06-15 0.038032 0.071017 0.148657 0.401532 1.701194 22.084622 NaN
2025-06-22 0.035911 0.067523 0.142788 0.392684 1.729319 25.660726 NaN
2025-06-29 0.034606 0.065753 0.141207 0.399214 1.868113 34.723516 NaN
2025-07-06 0.032932 0.063005 0.136697 0.393689 1.920625 42.184034 NaN
2025-07-13 0.031883 0.061610 0.135684 0.401606 2.086558 60.302543 NaN